Aug. 6th, 2021

chuckro: (Default)
Next week is Friday the 13th, I just had pointed out to me. The last two Friday the 13ths (3/13/20 and 11/13 20) marked the beginning of long, hard lockdown periods.

A research note went around my work yesterday predicting that the US Delta wave would peak in three weeks and then decline. Note that this came from stock analysts using statistics of other waves, not anyone with real training in epidemiology. (The predictions from people who know what they're talking about are all over the goddamn map.) And I'd love to believe it, but I think it's a lot more likely that October is going to look like last January; and if we're REALLY unlucky, that will lead straight into a Thanksgiving/Christmas Lambda/Delta-Plus/Epsilon wave.

If by some bizarre chance you're reading this and aren't vaccinated, stop what you're doing and go get a shot right now. Not tomorrow, not when the CDC issues full approval, not when your aunt starts coughing on you at family dinner. NOW. TODAY.

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chuckro

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